Mortality Projection: Heligman Pollard Indonesian Life Table Construction and Mortality Rate Forecasting Using Lee-Carter Method
Penulis/Author
Achmad Jamil (1); Fitriana Arlyn Rahayu (2); Jason Putra Wirjo Santoso (4); Miracle Harry Sebastian (5); Fathan Rasyid Rahmadhan (6); Dr. Adhitya Ronnie Effendie, S.Si., M.Si., M.Sc. (7); Restu Ananda Putra, S.Si., M.Aktr. (8)
Tanggal/Date
15 2024
Kata Kunci/Keyword
Abstrak/Abstract
Mortality projection is a critical tool used in demographic and actuarial analyses to estimate future population dynamics and plan
for the allocation of resources. Life tables provide a comprehensive framework for mortality projection by providing a systematic
and standardized approach to analyzing mortality patterns. This paper explores the concept of mortality projection using life tables
and its application in different fields such as public health, social policy, and insurance. We present the theoretical foundation of
life tables, including the construction and interpretation of basic measures such as life expectancy, age-specific mortality rates, and
survival probabilities. We then discuss various methods of projecting mortality rates and illustrate the practical applications of these
methods using real-world data. Finally, we highlight the challenges and limitations of mortality projection using life tables, such as
the uncertainty of future mortality trends and the impact of the external factors. The paper concludes by emphasizing the importance
of continued research in mortality projection using life tables to improve our understanding of mortality patterns and enhance the
accuracy of population forecasts.
